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Looks like the slope is about 10 percentage points per decade. So, it will take 20–30 years to double the efficiency of solar energy conversion. Disappointing.

Tyler Cowen asks : The most expensive weather disaster of 2018? How many of you have heard about it? Gro Intelligence, for one. We predicted it. The chart shows historical soybean yields in Argentina, as reported by 4 different data sources, together with Gro Yield Model forecast for the current…

See the light grey in the top right corner, “Rejected Energy”? That consists of things like the heat coming off car brakes when you decelerate, i.e. the part of the energy you consumed during your acceleration that you will end up never using. Unlike the acceleration which has value, no…

In this article from the NY Times a few days ago, Manhattan Skyscraper Linked to Iran Can Be Seized by U.S., Jury Finds, was an absolutely shocking sentence: It asserted that Iran sponsored or was responsible for the 9/11 attack. For days, I haven’t been able to get it out…

Ever since I heard about the concept, via Robin Hanson a long time ago, I’ve been a fan of the the 2d political map. Much better than the usual 1d left-right spectrum. If you drew the equivalent picture for France, you could put LePen instead of Trump, and Macron where…